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The euro rose against the dollar on
Monday after a widely-watched barometer of U.S. service-sector
activity disappointed investors and sent them selling the greenback
for profits, ending gains posted on expectations for the Federal
Reserve to hasten the pace at which it dismantles stimulus
programs.
In U.S. trading, EUR/USD was
trading at 1.3638, up 0.36%, up from a session low of 1.3572 and
off a high of 1.3651.
The pair was likely to find
support at 1.3572, the earlier low, and resistance at
1.3775, Thursday's high.
The dollar took a hit after the
Institute of Supply Management said its non-manufacturing
purchasing managers' index fell to 53.0 in December from 53.9 in
November. Analysts were expecting the index to increase to
54.5.
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The Euro is declining and approaching
resistance at 1.3620. If it doesn't hold the rate perhaps is going
to fall further to test 1.3535. Otherwise a limited rebound will be
possible.
Market Overview
The first trading day of a New Year
was marked by massive sales of the main currency pairs. During
Asian trading session consolidation was seen due to absence of
Japanese investors. During European session “bears” took the
initiative. In the leading economies of the Euro zone final results
on manufacturing PMI index were released. Overall the data were
moderately revised to better figures, but the EUR/USD pair ignored
the indices.
On the 1st of January weak data on
PMI index were issued in China. European investors decided to take
advantage of Chinese news, as the implication is slow down of the
pace of Chinese industry growth.
Central banks around the world are
changing their policies quite considerably in the wake of recent
worldwide economic recession. The typical example is the Bank of
Japan who started their open ended asset purchase program in April
2013 instead of originally planed 2014.
The bias on Euro is bullish overall.
Anyway the peak, which has been reached recently, looks too
challenging at the moment to be tested again soon. Anyway if there
is no fall below the trend line, the ascend will go on.
Market Overview
The last trading day of the last year
has passed in a quite calm manner. The Euro and USDJPY have been
consolidation near the levels 1.3800 and 105.00 respectively.
During the US trading session positive reports on Consumer
Confidence in the States were released. Nevertheless any strong
growth of the US currency wasn't seen. Investors didn't rush to
open long positions on the US Dollar before the holiday. British
currency satisfied investors and finished trading on maximum levels
of the year. As has been mentioned in one of the recent reviews,
the Pound has been always appreciating against the Dollar for the
last 6 years. This time, the Pound didn't break the tradition and
ended the day by its firm rates' growth.
Gold prices edged lower in quiet
trading on Tuesday as investors avoided the metal on the likelihood
it will close 2013 with its deepest plunge in over three
decades.
On the Comex division of the New York
Mercantile Exchange, gold futures for February delivery traded at
USD1,202.60 a troy ounce during U.S. trading, down 0.10%. Gold
prices traded in a range between USD1,81.90 a troy ounce and
USD1,213.90 a troy ounce.
Futures were likely to find near-term
support at USD1,181.90 a troy ounce, the earlier low, and
resistance at USD1,213.90, the earlier high. The February contract
settled 0.84% higher on Monday to end at USD1,203.80 a troy
ounce.
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